In response to the Data City challenge promoted by the Barcelona City Council and Numa, in collaboration with Ferrovial, we developed a last-mile delivery data model for the city of Barcelona. We formulated design hypotheses based on the consolidation center model.
We calculated e-commerce demand – including failed deliveries – for the residential fabric, offices and businesses. Based on the results, we then measured consolidation centers and their associated areas and assessed the road impact of various proposals.
If e-commerce exceeds its current rate of growth (25% per year, based on 2019 data), demand will double in three to four years. Therefore, last-mile design is a crucial piece of future mobility policies, which must promote the use of non-polluting modes of transport over private modes and ensure that the delivery of goods does not increase traffic volume or pollution.